Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.032465 0.034890 0.037313 0.039912 0.042618 0.045350 0.048311
2025-09-14 0.027158 0.030958 0.034886 0.039234 0.043894 0.048727 0.054101
2025-09-21 0.023672 0.028222 0.033045 0.038502 0.044474 0.050779 0.057908
2025-09-28 0.020848 0.025884 0.031342 0.037639 0.044649 0.052161 0.060771
2025-10-05 0.019698 0.025265 0.031406 0.038598 0.046708 0.055496 0.065668
2025-10-12 0.018400 0.024361 0.031048 0.038991 0.048057 0.057981 0.069570
2025-10-19 0.016915 0.023133 0.030231 0.038780 0.048652 0.059566 0.072417
2025-10-26 0.016444 0.023060 0.030714 0.040028 0.050879 0.062960 0.077273
2025-11-02 0.015475 0.022325 0.030366 0.040265 0.051907 0.064968 0.080542
2025-11-09 0.014408 0.021409 0.029752 0.040144 0.052481 0.066428 0.083164
2025-11-16 0.013458 0.020586 0.029208 0.040067 0.053074 0.067883 0.085758
2025-11-23 0.012462 0.019654 0.028487 0.039740 0.053340 0.068934 0.087867
2025-11-30 0.011461 0.018736 0.027831 0.039570 0.053901 0.070462 0.090699
2025-12-07 0.010263 0.017512 0.026766 0.038891 0.053863 0.071319 0.092800
2025-12-14 0.009160 0.016341 0.025707 0.038164 0.053720 0.072011 0.094676
2025-12-21 0.008105 0.015166 0.024585 0.037305 0.053372 0.072425 0.096193
2025-12-28 0.007831 0.015085 0.024892 0.038259 0.055253 0.075504 0.100864
2026-01-04 0.007373 0.014704 0.024777 0.038650 0.056423 0.077720 0.104507
2026-01-11 0.006740 0.014021 0.024219 0.038440 0.056819 0.078986 0.107005
2026-01-18 0.006642 0.014147 0.024769 0.039681 0.059046 0.082482 0.112183
2026-01-25 0.006224 0.013747 0.024570 0.039918 0.059989 0.084404 0.115468
2026-02-01 0.005724 0.013186 0.024118 0.039797 0.060463 0.085740 0.118038
2026-02-08 0.005274 0.012673 0.023712 0.039720 0.060979 0.087118 0.120653